How We Compare¶
Given the popularity of the Media Mix Modelling (MMM) approach, numerous packages are available. Below is a concise comparison:
Feature |
PyMC-Marketing |
Robyn |
Orbit KTR |
Meridian* |
AMMM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Language |
Python |
R |
Python |
Python |
Python |
Approach |
Bayesian |
Traditional ML |
Bayesian |
Bayesian |
Bayesian |
Foundation |
PyMC |
- |
STAN/Pyro |
TensorFlow Probability |
PyMC + JAX |
Company |
PyMC Labs |
Meta |
Uber |
Independent |
|
Open source |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Model Building |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Out-of-Sample Forecasting |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
Budget Optimiser |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Time-Varying Intercept |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Time-Varying Coefficients |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
Custom Priors |
Yes |
No |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Custom Model Terms |
Yes |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Lift-Test Calibration |
Yes |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Geographic Modelling |
Yes |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
Unit-Tested |
Yes |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
MLflow Integration |
Yes |
No |
No |
Yes |
No |
GPU Sampling Acceleration |
Yes |
N/A |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Prophet Integration |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Automated Outlier Handling |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Model Selection (ELPD) |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Transfer Entropy Analysis |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Stationarity Testing |
No |
No |
No |
No |
Yes |
Consulting Support |
Provided by Authors |
Third-party agency |
Third-party agency |
Third-party agency |
Provided by Author |
*Meridian has been released as successor of Lightweight-MMM, which has been deprecated by Google
Last updated: 2025-08-07
Last reviewed: 2025-10-06
Key Takeaway¶
These libraries for MMM models implement different flavours of Bayesian models. While they share a broadly similar statistical foundation, they differ in API flexibility, underlying technology stack, and implementation approach.
PyMC-Marketing is a widely used open-source library with an extensive feature set and strong community support. Its flexibility makes it suitable for teams with complex requirements, though this breadth comes with a significant learning curve. While AMMM is built using PyMC (the underlying probabilistic programming framework), it is not a fork of PyMC-Marketing. AMMM represents a distinct implementation philosophy focused on statistical rigour, model stability, and practical usability for typical MMM use cases.
Other libraries have their own strengths. For example, Google Meridian features a more opinionated API and integration with the Google ecosystem, which can be advantageous for organisations already embedded in Google’s stack.
Your optimal choice should depend primarily on:
Your team’s technical expertise
Complexity of your data and client use cases
Preference for an independent open-source solution vs. one that is closed source
Our Recommendation¶
Choose Meta Robyn if:¶
Your team primarily uses R instead of Python
You prefer a “simpler” but less rigourous approach than Bayesian Models (Ridge regression)
Your MMM data tends to be relatively simple and number of channels small
Choose Google Meridian if:¶
You want a simplified (albeit less flexible) API to build models across geographies
You want strong integration with other Google products such as Collab
You have the expertise to work with and debug TFP (which can be non-trivial)
Choose PyMC-Marketing if:¶
You want its advanced statistical modelling capabilities (e.g., Gaussian Processes) and understand the complexity–interpretability–stability trade-offs
Integration into broader data science workflows is important (MLflow)
You prefer independence from major ad publishers and networks
Professional consulting support is available (but costly)
Choose AMMM if:¶
Statistical rigour and model stability are your top priorities
You want efficient use of degrees of freedom (Prophet integration for holidays vs individual dummy variables)
Automated seasonality detection is preferred over manual specification (Prophet vs knots/splines)
You need rigourous model diagnostics and selection criteria (ELPD, transfer entropy, stationarity tests)
Your dataset has outliers that need robust handling (quasi-winsorisation)
You prefer 100% in-sample inference for typical MMM sample sizes (52-104 weeks)
You value a statistically sound, battle-tested approach over extensive customisation options
Consulting support from the package author is available
Glossary¶
Out-of-Sample Forecasting: Producing predictions for future time periods beyond the observed time horizon. This is distinct from evaluating a model on a held-out test split within the observed data.